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Researchers at Colorado State University have decreased their forecast slightly for the current Atlantic Hurricane Season.
Now, CSU is calling for a "slightly above normal" 2025 Atlantic basin hurricane season due to high levels of Caribbean shear typically associated with less active hurricane seasons.
The initial forecast in the beginning of April called for an "above average" season with 17 named storms, nine hurricanes, and four major storms of Category 3 or higher. That's similar to NOAA predictions.
The latest report says, "A warmer-than-normal tropical Atlantic combined with likely ENSO neutral conditions typically provides a more conducive dynamic and thermodynamic environment for hurricane formation and intensification. We anticipate a slightly above-average probability for major hurricanes making landfall along the continental United States coastline and in the Caribbean."
CSU reminds coastal residents that "It only takes one hurricane making landfall to make it an active season. Thorough preparations should be made every season, regardless of predicted activity."
CSU will issue another update on August 6th.